Best Mortgage Rates in Ontario
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Ontario mortgage rate update: June 2025
Variable rates are holding steady.
The BoC could change rates on July 30.
Fixed rates have seen recent declines, but could increase.
July has brought a new sense of uncertainty to Ontario mortgage rates.
In the last half of June, falling government bond yields allowed lenders and brokerages to lower their fixed rate offers. But July has seen those bond yields start creeping up again. If those bond yields keep increasing over a sustained period of time, fixed rates are likely to edge up, too.
As of July 8, 2025, three- and five-year fixed mortgage rates can still be found for around 3.9% at some brokerages, but they’re generally 4% or higher. If you’re worried about rates rising before you secure a mortgage this summer, consider getting pre-approved and locking in a rate sooner rather than later.
Variable mortgage rates have been stable since the Bank of Canada decided to hold its overnight rate at 2.75% on June 4. The country's lowest variable mortgage rates will stay around 4% until at least July 30, when the BoC is scheduled to make its next overnight rate announcement.
A rate cut in July will depend on both inflation and the state of Canada's tariff-rattled economy, so it'll be a challenging call for the Bank to make. Analysts expect the BoC to cut its overnight rate another two times this year, which could shave at least 0.5% off of current variable rates.
A July rate cut would make variable rates the most affordable option for borrowers in Ontario. It's been over two years since that was the case.
What’s a good mortgage rate in Ontario right now?
As of July 2025, some mortgage brokers in Ontario are offering fixed rates for around 3.9% and variable rates for around 4%.
The rate offers you receive depend on factors like your credit score, total debt level and income, and whether you apply at a major bank or through a mortgage broker.
2025 Ontario mortgage rate forecast
Mortgage rates may decrease further in the second half of 2025.
The Bank of Canada is expected to reduce its overnight rate again twice before the end of the year, which would lower variable mortgage rates by at least 0.5% versus today’s levels.
Fixed mortgage rates will likely continue hovering between 3.75% and 4.25% for the remainder of 2025.
Read more about the Bank of Canada's latest rate announcement.
The BoC makes policy interest rate announcements eight times a year. Find out how its latest decision might impact Canada's housing market.
Ontario housing market update
Home sales in Ontario were up 1.1% in June compared to June 2024 and the average price went down 3.9%, according to the Ontario Real Estate Association.
Lower prices aren’t bad news for buyers. Neither is a bigger supply of available homes: New listings in June grew 8.5% compared to June 2024, and the overall number of active listings grew 18% compared to last June, according to OREA.
Ontario home buyer resources
Ontario first-time home buyer programs
Areas including Waterloo, the County of Simcoe, Kingston and Chatham-Kent have home buyer assistance programs that can keep costs down.
Land transfer tax refund
When buying your first home in Ontario, you can claim a refund up to $4,000 of land transfer taxes. If you’re a first-time home buyer in Toronto, you may qualify for a $4,475 refund on your municipal land transfer tax.
Ontario land transfer taxes
In Ontario, you'll pay a land transfer tax based on your home's value. The rate tops out at at 2.5% for values more than $2 million.
- 0.5% of the first $55,000 of the home's value.
- 1.0% of any additional value between $55,000 and $250,000.
- 1.5% of any additional value between $250,000 and $400,000.
- 2.0% of any additional value between $400,000 and $2 million.
- 2.5% of any additional value that's more than $2,000,000 if the land contains no more than two single-family residences.
Mortgage calculators
Frequently asked questions
Will Ontario mortgage rates go down in 2025?
Will Ontario mortgage rates go down in 2025?
The Bank of Canada overnight rate has been unchanged since March. If the bank lowers the rate, lower variable mortgage rates will follow. Fixed mortgage rates will likely continue hovering between 3.75% and 4.25% for much of the year.
How Ontario lenders determine mortgage rates
How Ontario lenders determine mortgage rates
The mortgage rate you’re offered in Ontario will be based on two primary factors; the state of the economy and your financial situation.
Economic factors
Variable mortgage rates are influenced by the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. When the overnight rate increases or decreases, a lender’s prime rate follows suit. Variable mortgage rates are based on a lender’s prime rate, so as the prime rate rises or falls, so do variable rates.
Fixed mortgage rates are determined by activity in the government bond market, particularly the yields on one-, three- and five-year bonds. Fixed mortgage rates follow the movement of those yields.
Your financial situation
Factors specific to you also affect the rates you’re offered. These include:
Your credit score.
Your income.
Your total debts.
The loan type you choose.
The amount you’re borrowing.
The term length and amortization period of your loan.
How to qualify for a lower mortgage rate in Ontario
How to qualify for a lower mortgage rate in Ontario
Some factors behind rates are beyond your control, but there are steps you can take to possibly qualify for the best mortgage rates, including:
Improve your credit score. A higher credit score generally results in better offers. Get a better score by eliminating existing debt and paying future bills in full and on time.
Increase your income. It’s not always easy, but any additional income will improve your financial position. Lenders look at your income to assess your ability to afford a mortgage.
Decrease your total debts. Pay down personal loans, student loans or other types of debts. Lenders consider your total debt load when determining the details of your loan.
Consider all your options. See if adjusting the loan type, the term length or the amortization period of your loan could help.
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Clay Jarvis